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After the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom, the Qing Dynasty was in a state of "tongzhi rejuvenating the country". Why did Zhao Liewen assert that he would die in 50 years?
During this period, the rulers of the Qing Dynasty reduced or exempted taxes, encouraged farmers to resume production and recuperate, and the Westernization Movement represented by Zeng Guofan, Zuo and Li Hongzhang rose. The national strength has been significantly enhanced, and the national fiscal revenue has increased to 80 million taels of silver, almost twice that of the Kanggan era.

Zhao Liewen, male, 1832, from Changzhou, Jiangsu. In the Qing Dynasty, Jiangsu and Zhejiang cultures flourished and talented people came forth in large numbers. However, due to the limited number of candidates, the competition in Jiangsu and Zhejiang is particularly fierce. Many talented people had to quit the imperial examination and go to the local government shogunate to win the second place. Zhao Liewen is one of them.

Zeng Guofan was surrounded by Shi Dakai of Taiping Army in Nanchang, Jiangxi. He was in a dilemma, and the staff around him immediately separated. At this time, Zhao Liewen came to Zeng Guofan's shogunate on the recommendation of Zhou Tenghu. Zhao Liewen's military and political views are equivalent to Zeng Guofan's. Zeng Guofan left Zhao Liewen as his chief of staff beside Zhao Liewen. Zeng Guofan inadvertently said that someone from Beijing came to Nanjing, saying that vicious cases of public fights often occurred in Beijing. Between the streets and shops, beggars marched in groups. Even some women have no clothes or trousers to wear and must be naked.

Hearing this, Zhao Liewen replied: "The public security in the world has been unified for a long time, and it is bound to split." But the main advantage is the heavy and closed atmosphere. If you have no bad heart, you won't break down. I estimate that another day's disaster will definitely come down first, and then the country will have no owner, and it will not last long for 50 years. "In Zhao Liewen's view, the Qing Dynasty has ruled the country for more than 200 years, and now it's time to disperse, but for now, this situation can be maintained. If it doesn't happen, it won't collapse immediately.

Zeng Guofan was recently awarded the title of scholar in Tianrenge, which is considered as a place of worship. He was not so pessimistic about the fate and future of the Qing dynasty, but he couldn't help frowning.