Chow Yun Fat's fourth golden statuette is a shoo-in, and "One like you" will win the Academy Award in an all-round way!

Author: Li Xiaotian

Nominations for the 39th Hong Kong Film Awards were released. I glanced at it and suddenly felt that cats and dogs were mentioned. Hong Kong movies are really hopeless. Hmm!

On the other hand, as the leader of the China Film Awards, the Hong Kong Awards also had a glorious moment. Even now, the thin camel is bigger than the horse, surpassing any prize in Chinese mainland. Let's guess whose house these flowers are.

Let's look at the nominations first. Among the total *** 19 awards, "A Warrior" won 17 nominations of 16 awards (both Chow Yun Fat and Aaron Kwok were shortlisted for best actor), which set a new record for films such as Infernal Affairs. Secondly, Uncle played against Wu Zhenyu, and * * was nominated by 1 1. Operation Red Sea received eight nominations, including best picture, best director and best cinematography. From here, we can see an unexpected winner, an unparalleled one who almost saved Hong Kong movies. Hong Kong filmmakers should thank Zhuang and He.

Before The Warrior, at the 33rd Hong Kong Academy Awards on 20 14, The Grandmaster was shortlisted for the 14 award, and finally won the 12 awards including best film, best director, best screenwriter, best actress and best supporting actor, which is unprecedented. The Grand Master was followed by Sweet Honey and Chill, both of which won 9 awards. How many items you can get in this "warrior" will become a big attraction. You know, the previous four films Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon, Infernal Affairs, Kung Fu and Sure are also nominated, but the final number of winners is not surprising.

As for Uncle Against the Current, it symbolizes the strength of local works in Hong Kong, but the influence of this film is not the same as that of Thief of the Years and Sister Tao, and it is basically an accompaniment. Two completely different films have won many nominations. As can be seen from the side door, the overall strength of Hong Kong films is not better, but other rivals are worse.

Operation Red Sea is obviously the main theme of the mainland, but it is regarded as a Hong Kong film, and the Academy Awards are distorted enough. On the one hand, we don't accept the Golden Awards for films that landed in the Mainland; on the other hand, we have to count some mainland films as Hong Kong films. Except for Operation Red Sea, this problem exists in films such as Journey to the West's Daughter Country and Catch the Demon 2, saying that they are Hong Kong films, and mainland people obviously refuse to accept it.

As for the nominated filmmakers, it is obvious that the talents are scattered, and it seems that some new people have appeared. In fact, they are helpless choices that no one can recommend.

Below, according to the specific situation of each award, let's make a prediction one by one.

Nomination list for the 38th Hong Kong Film Awards:

Best film:

Sanford

Operation Red Sea

The Men Who Fell

Uncle countercurrent

"unparalleled"

Supposedly, in the year of 20 18, there were many big productions, such as The Warrior, Catch the Demon 2, The Four Heavenly Kings in Renjie, The Journey to the West, The Golden Brothers, The Legend of Ip Man: Zhang Tianzhi, etc., and Hong Kong films were not very ugly (however, many of them were dominated by the mainland, not to say that).

In this list, there are both big productions, mid-range and small productions, and the types are general and not ugly. It's good that Sanfu, the last chapter of Chen Guo prostitute trilogy, can be nominated. Moreover, "Fallen King Kong" and "Uncle Against the Current" have been recognized by the 25th Hong Kong Film Critics Association, so it is no problem to put them on this list. But the overall influence of these three films is really too weak. In fact, the best movie should be Operation Red Sea and matchless. Operation Red Sea's theme of "Too Red" does not conform to the political correctness under the guiding ideology of the organizing committee, so we can only choose "One like you" to save the market.

The Golden Horse Award should really learn from the Golden Horse Award. All China people have only one way out. However, it is inevitable that the Golden Horse Award will only degenerate in a more degenerate direction, and there is no other way. Look at this nomination for best picture. In the early years, there were masterpieces such as Hero, Thief of the Years, Days and Nights in Tin Shui Wai and Sister Tao, but now they are all gone. The so-called Hong Kong flavor, as long as it can be slightly different, everyone will be satisfied. Everyone's requirements for Hong Kong films are really too low. So this nomination is neither fish nor fowl.

Best director:

Chen Guo's "Three Husbands"

Lin Chaoxian Red Sea Operation

Chen Xiaojuan's The Falling Man

Uncle Chen Yes, against countercurrent.

Zhuang's "unparalleled"

This award is also Operation Red Sea and the matchless duel. Neither Zhuang nor he is a dark horse. Judging from the manipulation of the whole film, Zhuang is better. Lin Chaoxian is still repeating himself in his familiar field, but the scene and mode have been upgraded.

Du Qifeng, Tsui Hark and other old directors have finally disappeared from the nomination list, and it is worth seeing that they have become the backbone of "Zhuang" and "Zhuang" with two new directors, but obviously the confidence of the newcomers is far from enough. Chen Guo's trilogy "Prostitute" at least gives himself an explanation, but "Three Husbands" is obviously not as shocking as "Durian Fluttering" or as amazing as "There is a Hollywood in Hong Kong". Ceng Zi's heroine still has a fight, and the best film is hopeless. Uncle Chen does feel like a dark horse at present, but his voice in the early stage is lower than that of Sanfu and Yinan. As for Chen Xiaojuan, it is best to compete honestly for the best new director.

Best screenwriter:

Uncle Chen Yes, against countercurrent.

Chen Xiaojuan's The Falling Man

Zhuang's "unparalleled"

Shu Kei, CoCo Lee and Li Junshuo.

The story of "an incomparable man" trying to win. If there is one mistake, the whole movie may lose. Fortunately, Zhuang is very neat and skilled in controlling stories.

Best actor:

Wu Zhenyu's uncle opposes countercurrent.

Huang Qiusheng's The Falling Man

Chow Yun Fat's "unparalleled"

Aaron Kwok's "unparalleled"

Tracy from Jiang Haowen.

Wu Zhenyu is the only powerful actor in the golden age of Hong Kong production who didn't receive the coronation award (Jackie Chan can forget it). It should be good to go against the current, but it's a pity to continue to accompany him, because Fage's performance is really excellent. Huang Qiusheng won the Best Actor of the 25th Hong Kong Film Critics Association for The Fallen, which proved his strength, but he still couldn't resist the outbreak of Fage. As for Jiang Haowen, it was a success that he was nominated for the leading role for the first time.

This nomination is questionable, but Fage has the biggest winning rate. You should know that Brother Fa is the most representative actor in Hong Kong, and it has been 1989 since he won the Golden Award (A Lang's story) last time. It's really unreasonable that Brother Fa has only won three Golden Awards so far. In contrast, Tony Leung Chiu Wai, a generation later than him, won seven performance awards, with five masters and two matches, Tony Leung Ka Fai also won four masters and one match, and even Andy Lau won three masters and one match. This time, Fage was able to put it down in "Warrior" and his acting skills were excellent. Basically, he is sure to book a golden statuette.

While congratulating Fage in advance, I have to say that this list is full of old people, even Louis Koo, Daniel Wu and other Mesozoic people have disappeared, and they are all people in their fifties and sixties, which is a witness to the naked decline of Hong Kong films. Out of water, people go, heaven and earth.

Best actress:

Zeng emiko's "three husbands"

Charlene Choi's "Inequality Mature Women"

Yu Xiangning is extraordinary.

Chris Convinge, a fallen man.

Zhang Jingchu's "unparalleled"

I haven't seen another one except one unparalleled, so it's hard to guess. Another reason why it is difficult to guess is that it is too low. What movies are shortlisted and who are the actors? It's almost an inexplicable list, which seems barely enough to make up for this award.

As for Zhang Jingchu, first of all, it is excluded that her performance in "One like you" is not outstanding. As for Ceng Zi, since she won the Best Actress Award of the 25th Hong Kong Film Critics Association, there should be no problem. Hong Kong actresses have been completely occupied, and some old people are supporting the actors. The heroines in Hong Kong films are basically supported by mainland actresses. In the past, mainland actresses all won the Golden Awards, such as Zhang Ziyi (twice), Zhou Xun, Gong Li, Gaowa Siqin and Zhao Wei. Later, in the spring and summer, he overtook the curve, won the prize from obscurity, and realized the big turn of the kite. This time, it was Zeng emiko's turn. This actor has also worked as a bit part for many years, and changed it from 20 18. He did well in The Moment of Pluto and The Last Night on Earth. This time, with the last chapter of Chen Guo's "Prostitute Trilogy", he should be able to realize his dream in one fell swoop, become the second spring and summer, and successfully take the position of hostess.

Going back to Hong Kong actresses, after winning the Golden Award in Miriam Yeung, there are no slightly influential Hong Kong actresses, all of whom rely on old actors to exert their residual heat. Among the young actresses in Hong Kong entertainment circle, Charlene Choi is the only one who can see. She has fully proved that she has this strength with "child prostitute", but this nomination with "unequal mature woman" is not convincing enough and needs to wait.

Best supporting actor:

Huang Debin's uncle opposes countercurrent.

Pan Canliang's uncle went upstream.

Li Canchen's The Falling Man

Liao Qizhi's "unparalleled"

Fu Huayuan's Tracy

After Jiang Haowen became the leading role, there were too few supporting roles. This nomination, there are only two familiar faces, Liao Qizhi and Li Canchen. At first glance, it is quite surprising, but when you look closely, the others are not newcomers, they are all old people over 50. This award will be awarded to Fu Huayuan, which is another unexpected outbreak of supporting roles for many years. Fu Huayuan won the Golden Horse Award for Best Supporting Actor, which is a convincing award. Everyone else should stop talking.

Best supporting actress:

Huang Lu's G Kill

Jiang Luxia Red Sea Operation

Yu Xiangning's uncle went upstream.

Zhou Jiayi's "unparalleled"

Tracy from Kara Wai.

This is a double round between Zhou Jiayi and Kara Wai. In recent years, the second spring broke out in Kara Wai and won numerous awards. This time, it seems to be unprecedented. However, "The Warrior" is too eye-catching, with a win-win situation at the box office and word-of-mouth, and Zhou Jiayi's performance is quite good. Zhang Jingchu in "The Warrior" has some rubber faces, and the China girl played by Sun Jiajun is also quite good. In a few limited scenes, it is actually a legacy that the characters seek the perfect combination of love and inner entanglement.

As a supporting role of TVB for many years, Zhou Jiayi survived this time. This is probably the most surprising award in this year's Academy Awards. It is not easy for a daughter-in-law to become a woman for many years. Newcomer Yu Xiangning was nominated not only for best hostess, but also for best female companion. Is this good or bad? At best, there is a new person at last. At worst, the newcomer is still weak, and it is difficult to push a hard one.

Best cross-strait Chinese film:

Jiang hu er nu

Hello, Zhihua

Dying to Survive

Evil will not suppress justice.

carnival

It's not easy to guess, but the urine of the Hong Kong Academy Awards should be a work based on realistic themes, so it is better than death. Of course, this is a shot in the dark. There is no basis at all.

Best new actor:

Lin Shan's G Kill

Anti-corruption storm in the south during the day 3

Chen's "three husbands"

Hu Dingxin's uncle opposes countercurrent.

Chris Convinge, a fallen man.

If Yu Xiangning nominates the best new actor, the winning rate should be higher. But then again, none of the so-called newcomers who have emerged in recent years can hold on and become the backbone of Hong Kong films. This nomination should be cancelled as soon as possible.

New director:

Li Zhuobin's "G Kill"

Uncle Chen Yes, against countercurrent.

Chen Xiaojuan's The Falling Man

Ka-kit Cheung's Agent Dundee

Cui Si by Li Junshuo

The best new director can be seen. Except for Li Zhuobin, the quality of other works is excellent. As for whether Chen won the prize or not, that would be quite interesting.

As for the following technical awards, just have a look and don't have to guess.

Best photography:

Tan Jiahao's "G Kill"

The Four Kings of Di Renjie in Chonghui Cai

Yuen Man Fung, Yongheng Huang Red Sea Operation

Anthony Pun's "Catch the Demon 2"

Jason Kwan Chi-Yiu's "unparalleled"

Best editing:

Xu Wenjie's G Kill

Xu Ke and Li Lin's Four Heavenly Kings in Renjie

Cai Zhixiong, Lin Yongheng and the Red Sea Operation

Stanley Tam and Xuelian's Reverse Kidnapping