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Zhengzhou issued a new rental policy, and the whole family can settle down. Many cities have been fully liberalized and settled. What signal was released?
For cities, the economic benefits of the free flow of population

At the same time, it also shows that local governments are trying to save themselves in the case of blood loss from land finance.

Why are there household registration restrictions? Because urban household registration is a hot potato, and this hot potato is maintained by household registration system. After all, everyone

What you can enjoy is not a delicious cake, but the policy scissors difference between rural and urban areas in the early days of household registration restrictions. Although there are many high-sounding considerations in the local area, there are also many realistic helplessness that power is greater than financial power, but it does not hinder the achievement of the above facts.

Stand up.

Renting a house can be solved by the whole family. In fact, it is to let go of the household registration restrictions, but still hide half a face in front of us behind her guitar. Why not just announce the cancellation of household registration?

Directly announcing the restrictions can also drop a good reputation as a pioneer of reform and write down a sum in contemporary history.

Why did the local authorities harvest the youth of migrant workers before? Did they find that they didn't want to harvest? In fact, this is a subtle test based on the advantages and disadvantages of reality.

Quantity.

First, the reason why I didn't want migrant workers to go to cities before was mainly because of the needs of citizen investment and infrastructure investment, and I needed a degree. If you don't want to be a citizen, you can harvest. Why do you want to be a citizen? Now you are allowed to enter the city because Zhengzhou's commercial housing inventory has been in the main city for more than 22 months, which is normal around 12 months.

Yes, because the period from land supply to pre-sale is almost 12 months. Citizenization means buying a house. If you can afford a house, yes.

The income will be far greater than the input of citizens. If you don't buy it now, it will at least contribute to GDP and increase the possibility of buying a house. ?

Before Xi 'an and Zhengzhou robbed college students, it was essentially an advanced version of renting a house and settling down. After all, college students earn more than one.

Yes, to get married and have children, it is more urgent to buy a house, and you can also collect 6 wallets. Personally, the effect of the policy is limited. After all, urban hukou, especially in Zhengzhou, is not very attractive now.

Foot, suburban rural hukou demolition or dividends, is it comparable to a city hukou? Zhengzhou property market has been sideways for five years, and house prices have continued to fall. ?

Second, behind the decline in housing prices, in addition to the superposition effect brought by floods, viruses and village bank incidents, it is more important to bring high inventory.

Drag it down.

According to the data from Ke Rui, in 2022, Zhengzhou's narrow inventory has been approved for pre-sale, and the unsold inventory cycle is as high as 26 months, far exceeding the warning line of 18 months, ranking in the forefront of second-tier cities. These stocks are basically the result of demolition and construction a few years ago. Since 15, Zhengzhou has started a large-scale reconstruction project of villages in cities. With the help of shed reform, price increase, destocking and monetization, local

House prices have risen by more than 40% a year.

However, the shed reform will eventually come to an end, and the mode of large-scale demolition and large-scale construction will be unsustainable. The relocated households brought money into the market and a lot of soil was removed.

Land will become a huge new inventory.

Any stock needs a picker. When the relocated households no longer exist, who can they rely on?

Third, at present, the national property market has been loosened one after another, but the purchase restriction has not been completely cancelled in megacities, even Zheng, who fired the first shot.

The state only lowered the threshold of purchase restriction in disguise.

Household registration is still a threshold in front of the property market. Zero threshold is a long-term solution.

Lifting the settlement restriction is equivalent to opening a direct channel for the sales office, providing a large number of pick-ups in a short time, which may have a product for the property market.

Very influential.

Of course, it depends.

In the hot cycle of the property market, zero threshold settlement is like adding fuel to the fire in the shock cycle of the property market, which has the purpose of maintaining stability.

In the down cycle of the property market, the short-term impact of grabbing people may not be comparable to the power of the market itself.

In any case, liberalization and reconciliation will eventually send a positive signal to safeguard the market.

Fourth, but if you can afford the house price, it will be very difficult. These new residents belong to the just-needed class. In this turbulent market environment,

It is impossible to fill the hole for the real estate bubble wave by wave. Moreover, these just-needed groups are difficult to produce in the short term because of economic reasons.

Have strong purchasing power. Even if they want to buy a house, it is a slow process.

It will take at least three to five years for a city to get a real bonus for talents to settle down. But local finance can't last that long, now.

Many cities have financial problems, many city bus lines have been stopped, and urban construction has also defaulted, even

I can't even afford the interest.

In order to make up for the financial gap, individual cities have used the tactics of fines, and the number of fines in cities has soared. Once the real estate tax is fully levied, it will lead to the bursting of a huge real estate bubble.

High housing prices will not be maintained at high cost.

If we lock in real estate transactions to maintain prices, it will turn residents' wealth into paper wealth. Then levy real estate tax and successfully hold real estate.

If the cost is greatly increased, a large number of vacant houses and real estate speculators will be exposed, and the house prices that have been blown up by the bubble will eventually return to their true colors.

The real resistance of real estate tax collection actually lies in the system. The group that has bought the most houses for so many years is the people in the system.