With the approach of March, the trend of domestic pig prices these days can be said to affect the hearts of every farmer.
The mainstream quotation of pigs ushered in successive declines, and the income of pig farmers once again faced an important test. Especially now, the pig price in many areas has fluctuated for three consecutive days, which also makes the future domestic pig price trend more confusing.
Now pig prices in some areas have begun to usher in a gradual warming trend. Does this mean that domestic pig prices can rebound again after March?
What specific control policies has the state formulated for food prices and pig prices? What new market changes will pig prices and food prices usher in from March to May in spring? Considering the multilateral factors such as supply and demand, policy regulation and so on, the majority of breeders must be alert to two practical problems from now on.
Let's talk about the specific situation together.
Since the end of February, the domestic pig price has fallen into a trough again after repeated shocks, and the income of pig farmers is facing an important test.
The chain shock of grass-roots pig prices seems to indicate that the pig market may cool down this year, but will this year's pig prices really be as general as in late February? Let's first collect the relevant data of the domestic mainstream pig market.
At present, the mainstream purchase price of grass-roots pigs is generally maintained at RMB/kg 14.79 ~ 15.49, and the price of pigs decreased by 0.7 1% ~ 0.94%, but the price of pigs increased by 2 1.63% ~ 22.84% year-on-year.
While the price of pigs fluctuates sharply, the prices of corn and soybean meal also fluctuate.
Objectively speaking, the prices of corn and soybean meal generally fell, and the price of soybean meal remained at 490 1 yuan per ton, down 1.7% from the previous month.
The price of corn remained at 29 10 yuan per ton, down 0.65% from the previous month.
Combined with the current big data situation in the pig market, the ratio of pig to grain at the grass-roots level is now maintained at 5.32: 1, and farmers are facing more and more severe tests.
Pig God of Wealth can clearly tell everyone that such a volatile market is coming to an end, the pig price will not be cold this year, and the state's supervision and regulation of the pig market will continue to increase.
At present, the changing trend of the grass-roots pig market, pig prices in more and more areas have returned to a stable stage, and pig prices in some areas have even officially ushered in a rebound.
At present, the highest mainstream price of live pigs in China has also stood above 8 yuan per catty, which is equivalent to per kilogram 16 yuan, but the mainstream price remains in the range of per kilogram 14 ~ 15 yuan.
With the official start of March-May, the live pig market will usher in further warming changes.
First of all, with the gradual reduction of pig stocks, the relationship between supply and demand in the grass-roots pig market will change.
In addition, from March to May in spring, the consumption level will also improve in the short term. At least compared with February, the consumer market in March will usher in some favorable changes.
In the process of welcoming the new pattern, the price of live pigs will naturally be favorable, and the income of farmers from raising pigs can still be fully guaranteed.
After entering March, when the spring ploughing season comes, there will be new market changes in the prices of corn and soybeans.
In the No.1 Document of the Central Committee officially released this year, the state has taken a series of measures to regulate and control the grain industry.
Moreover, in this year, the state specifically proposed to protect the relevant rights and interests of farmers who benefit from grain production. Therefore, storing and storing grain in the grain depot will provide more powerful protection for farmers who farm.
Driven by the favorable purchase and sale of grain, the price increase of corn and soybean will also become a new direction.
Based on the above trends, grain prices and pig prices will usher in brand-new market changes from March to May.
For us farmers, from now on, we must be alert to two practical problems!
Realistic problem 1: Once the price of corn and soybean rises from March to May, it will inevitably affect the pig raising cost of farmers.
The increase in the cost of raising pigs will further erode the meager income of raising pigs, and at the same time, it will further aggravate the pressure on farmers' cash flow of raising pigs.
Everyone must actively deal with this practical problem and take relevant preventive measures in advance.
Realistic problem 2: For farmers, after March, at the critical stage of the formal start of spring ploughing, the temperature will gradually rise.
Under the influence of warmer weather, the temperature difference between day and night in some areas will gradually widen, and the storage conditions of corn and soybeans will also bring new influences.
If the storage conditions are not very good, corn and soybeans are likely to face the risk of mildew, which needs farmers to understand.
The key to deal with the above two practical problems is to choose to sell pigs reasonably and orderly and arrange to sell grain. Only in this way can we ensure the stability of feeding cash flow and further avoid the risk of mildew that grain may face.
Pig God of Wealth believes that in the process of orderly implementation of various national regulatory policies, the majority of pig farmers will get more favorable policies from March to May, and the market conditions for ensuring food and pig prices will also pick up.
I hope everyone can look at the current market structure with a normal mind, and combine their own actual situation to arrange pig slaughter in an orderly manner, sell grain in an orderly manner and increase income.
Here, I still call on everyone to take action, click "Look at it" in the lower right corner of the article, and praise the national pig price and food price series control policies together.