2
Liquidity is tightening. When liquidity tightens, the stock market usually falls. However, such a decline generally has little impact on the company's core competitiveness and intrinsic value. But the tightening of liquidity often indicates the rise of inflation in the future, which is harmful to all enterprises.
three
The performance was lower than expected. When the performance exceeds the forecast range, the stock price will definitely rise. When the performance is lower than the forecast range, the stock price mostly falls. It can be said that the lower-than-expected performance is a very strong catalyst for the stock price decline. But even if the performance is lower than expected, it should be analyzed in depth and treated differently. Whether the income is lower than expected or the cost is higher than expected reflects the changing trend of the company's profitability or is caused by one-off factors, which is the key reason why the stock will fall.
four
Negative event news. Many times, negative news does not really affect the company's performance, but it has a huge psychological impact on investors. Faced with negative news, people think that their future performance will definitely be adversely affected, so they sell their stocks and their share prices fall. Negative news, according to the negative degree, will also be a very strong catalyst for stock price decline. The problem with negative news is uncertainty. Because people hate risk and uncertainty, negative news often pushes the stock price down, which is an important reason for the stock price decline.
five
Overvaluation of stock price is not the reason. In the long run, the stock price will definitely return to its intrinsic value. However, in the short term, the stock market is just a voting machine. Overvaluation does not naturally lead to a decline in share prices. But in the short term, these stocks will remain high, even higher, because this is the normal state of the market. High stock price will form positive feedback to itself, and the stock price itself is the driving force for the rise. Only when investors change their views and truly realize that the stock price is overvalued will the stock price fall.
Edited on 20 19-0 1-02.
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After reading it, the following is more interesting-
What is the reason for the stock market crash?
Browse July 24, 2020
What is the reason for the stock market crash today? _?
According to China Business Intelligence Network, as of the close, the Shanghai Composite Index plunged 6.4 1% to 274 1 point, continuously falling below the two barriers of 2900 and 2800, with a turnover of 2.71.70 billion yuan; The Shenzhen Stock Exchange plunged 7.34% to 955 1 point, falling below the 10,000-point mark, with a turnover of 394.77 billion yuan; The GEM index plunged 7.56% to 2037 points, with a turnover of 65.438+000.58 billion yuan. The following five reasons are negative or cause the market to plummet: 1, Public Offering of Fund 1, shrinking by one trillion, and the slimming of institutional funds makes the market unstable and dives frequently; 2. The balance of the two financial institutions grew slowly in this rebound, and the risk-oriented funds cautiously explained that they were not optimistic about the market outlook; 3. In June, 5438+ 10, the foreign exchange holdings of financial institutions may drop by about 8 178 billion yuan, and the pressure of hot money outflow is still relatively high, which will suppress the rebound of the stock index; 4. The volume and energy of the two cities are not enlarged, and the infinite rebound is unreliable and vulnerable to short-selling attacks; The leading index of this round has been weaker than the Shanghai Composite Index recently, which has seriously affected the popularity of the market. You need to know more about the rules and regulations of the stock market, watch more financial programs, master certain experience and skills, usually watch more, learn more, and make more simulation discs. Now I have been using Niu Gubao to simulate the real operation, learning while practicing, and it is endless. Only by studying hard can we survive in the stock market. I hope I can help you, and I wish you a happy investment!
2 like 249 browse 20 16-02-25
What are the specific reasons for the 20 15 stock market crash?
One of the reasons is that there are too many shady and rat warehouses in China stock market, and the supervision is too weak.
3 Zan 995 Browse 20 16-02- 12
What are the reasons for the decline of the market and the rise of individual stocks against the trend?
Hello, rising against the market means that under the background of market fluctuation adjustment, individual stocks do not follow the market trend, but rise. When a stock rises against the market, whether to hold the stock or not requires investors to comprehensively consider the fundamentals of the stock and other factors. Reason: Most of the stocks rising against the market are theme stocks or concept stocks, which were recently hyped or fostered by the state. These stocks can't be long-term in actual operation, and many of them are not very durable and suitable for short-term. The behind-the-scenes manipulation of bookmakers can often attract a lot of money. When the supply exceeds the demand, it will naturally drive the stock price to rise, which generally means that the banker is still there, but be careful that there may be a big drop, because the banker's final direction is to ship. In addition, the reason for the rise against the market may also be to pull up the test selling pressure, and its direction is to pull up. Blue-chip stocks will also rise against the market, because their role is to stabilize the market. The stock is controlled by the main force and the banker, and the rise and fall depends on the banker. Even if the market falls and the stock fundamentals are not good, the stocks manipulated by the main bookmakers can rise against the market, but they are not necessarily high-quality stocks, because the main bookmakers are afraid of losing their chips. Even if the market rises, the stock fundamentals are very good, and the stocks manipulated by the main players and bookmakers can fall against the market, but they are not necessarily bad stocks, because the main bookmakers want to attract low chips. Risk disclosure: This information does not constitute any investment advice. Investors should not substitute such information for their independent judgment, or make decisions only based on such information. It does not constitute any trading operation and does not guarantee any income. If you operate by yourself, please pay attention to position control and risk control.
12 likes 774 to browse 2020-0 1-08.
What is the reason for the stock market crash?
The network urgently called for the rescue of 200 million shareholders and demanded that the stock index futures trading be suspended on Monday. 1 15 is a shocking case. Twenty brokers joined hands to short Black Friday, and hundreds of millions of investors lost 500 billion yuan to enter 20 10. The long-lost bull market suddenly came, which made many small investors happy and caught some bearish institutions off guard. Therefore, they want to make a fuss about stock index futures and try to catch up. From the disk, the market is bullish, and the futures contract 1 1 exceeds the current price by 70 points. Sometimes even as high as 125 points. Let the short-selling main force pay too badly. So he planned a self-defense counterattack. Since1October 26th 10, these main players have been sailing against the current, often trying to suppress stock index futures when the stock index is going up, but they rarely succeed, resulting in one small "black crow" (going up) on the K-line chart of the stock index, but they still do nothing. Seeing that the contract of 1 1 will be forced to close its position on 19, these brokers collectively plan to organize the final counterattack together (this is a criminal act expressly stipulated in our laws). In the situation that the Shanghai Composite Index has hit record highs, these brokers are not opening positions with empty orders, but the number of empty orders in the opposite direction has greatly increased, which shows that brokers have decided to cross the rubicon to the last stop. Are these brokers gods and will they measure the future? Absolutely not. But they know that as long as they join hands to short and severely suppress stock index futures, they can beat down the spot stock index and turn losses into profits. In fact, after the introduction of stock index futures in China, the stock index market is not about stock index futures, but about stock index futures. Looking at the trend of the stock index in the last two months, there is a rare phenomenon of crossing a line, which has never happened in the past. Can't stock index futures walk out of such a graphic code? As a forecast, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets soared at the position of 11,with an increase of 2% from 2 pm to1hour. According to the law of the past ten years, there will be no big reversal in 1 hour in the future. In other words, the experience of the past ten years is that if the stock index rises steadily above 2% in the first three hours, there will be no big inflection point at the end of 1 hour. Just then, at 14: 45, a huge number of short orders suddenly appeared in stock index futures, and the turnover reached 24 billion yuan in 10 minutes, five times as much as usual. So it caused great panic in the stock market, and I don't know what happened. As a result, the normal bullish stock index suddenly changed face, leading to a sharp sell-off in the market. Results The stock index soared from 3554 to 35 13 and 4 1 point in a short time of 15 minutes. After their initial success, these brokers became more confident. So I continued to add empty orders the next day. Judging from the position structure of yesterday's 10 12 contract (165438+ 10/0/), the top 20 bulls are 16235 lots, while the top 20 bulls are16235 lots. So an invisible and shocking conspiracy officially appeared. History will remember Friday, 2010165438+10/0. It was a normal day, the US stock market fell less than 65,438+0%, and the surrounding Japanese stock market opened slightly lower by 0.2%. There is nothing special about the market-it should be said that this is the most ordinary day. However, as soon as the China Stock Exchange opened, the stock index futures immediately fell by 2%, and then huge empty orders began to be continuously exploded. Stock index futures fell as high as 8%, which is rare in history. Under the influence of the stock index futures crash, the market has experienced unprecedented panic, which has led to all kinds of speculations and fears. Blindly follow the trend wave after wave, throwing the precious stocks I saw yesterday like a whore. At the close, in June, the stock index futures 1 1 fell by 259 points or 7.3 1%, and the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 162.3 1 point or 5. 16%. The Shenzhen Component Index fell 958.4 points, or 7%. The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index fell 2 18 points or 6.2 1%, and the market value of the two cities lost 500 billion yuan. The profits of 4302 empty orders (not counting new ones) in the hands of these short-selling brokers reached more than 600 million yuan. It is nothing new to use capital against the current. As early as the 1990s, the Shanghai Stock Exchange launched treasury bonds futures, which have been favored by the market and then rose again and again. Short losses are serious. So one day, five minutes before the close, a huge empty order was suddenly smashed, causing the variety to fall in an instant. So behind-the-scenes pushers turned losses into victories and turned losses into profits. However, this behavior has been angered by all the people in China and reported many times. So the CSRC had to investigate, thoroughly expose the broker and declare the five-minute transaction invalid. Someone did it again today, but this time it was too big. The people of the whole country lost 500 billion yuan at once, which is enough to constitute a criminal offence of manipulating the market. Different from the past, there are now securities laws and market manipulation crimes. Access to evidence is very simple, just find out the holders of these brokers' empty orders, and then find out the bookmakers who collectively smashed the empty orders today. Whether these officials who eat the food of ordinary people have ulterior motives remains to be seen. It is very simple to verify whether stock index futures manipulate the market. We only need to stop trading stock index futures for one day next Monday, and the market will definitely stop falling next Monday. However, if left unchecked, the stock market will continue to plummet in the coming week, with a drop of more than 10%, which will cause great social unrest. As an urgent measure, we appealed through the Internet that in order to protect the interests of 200 million shareholders and prevent their hard-earned money from being cheated, we strongly demand that the trading of stock index futures be suspended for one day next Monday. 1 15. If such measures are not taken, the stock market will continue to plummet next week, which may cause greater losses to 200 million shareholders, and the loss amount may be as high as 1 trillion yuan. If such measures are taken, the stock market will really stop falling next Monday, which is also circumstantial evidence that brokers have joined hands to commit crimes. Suspension of trading for one day will not cause any unreasonable losses in the stock index futures market, but it is very important to stabilize the people's hearts in the securities market and ease the market panic. To this end, we urgently appeal to hundreds of millions of people to care about this major event and directly or indirectly find the securities regulatory authorities through all available channels, and strongly appeal to suspend stock index futures trading for one day. Later, the government was asked to immediately intervene in the investigation of this case and deal with illegal crimes according to law ☆ Jun * (28921591) 201-1410: 54. The area of that website (269347631) 2010-1-14 20: 20: 44 3150) is the resistance center, which is the short top of this market. It's a pity that only the results are said, but they are not. I said on July 6th this year that 23 19 is a historical iron bottom, and the subsequent market clearly verified this point. The only thing I didn't expect was that the scale of this market exceeded my original idea. I thought the market would go slowly in the form of snail jogging, but since June 8, the daily turnover of Shanghai stock market has been maintained at around 250 billion, which is the quantity and energy basis of a typical big bull market. This bull market is bound to break through 6000 points. The quantitative easing policy in the United States is the catalyst. The rising trend of world commodity prices caused by the excessive issuance of US dollars has taken shape. RMB appreciation will accelerate the inflow of hot money into China. Our domestic inflation is actually more passive and imported. Since A-shares have maintained an overall performance growth of more than 25% in the past two years, compared with the external stock market, A-shares with high quality and low price are obviously the first choice to fight inflation, which is the basis of A-share bull market. So Friday's adjustment is only a technical adjustment. 3 150 area is an important warehouse locking center in the early stage. Since 23 19, there have been many profit-making discs. With wolves in front and tigers behind, it is not surprising that such adjustments have been triggered. The plunge reflects by no means the ferocity of bears, but the fear of bulls. The reason for the killing is to finish it in a short time, because we don't want to give the early empty people any chance to consider entering the market. Therefore, such a plunge is a typical bull market adjustment, and the 3 186 point is an insignificant short top. As for the limit target of adjustment, I think that in the area of 2860 points, next week will be dominated by retaliatory rebound, and the probability of weekly closing is greater. Because this bull market is caused by imported inflation, the biggest beneficiaries are undoubtedly commodities, including non-ferrous metals, coal, agricultural products, beverages, food, household appliances, automobiles and so on. This belongs to the concept of consumption. Personally, I am more optimistic about gold and agricultural products, and I can pay a little attention to Tongwei shares and Hengbang shares, while the growth stocks belonging to the seven emerging industries are still the first choice for investment. After this round of adjustment, the next target is 4000 points, so every time you adjust, you have to sell iron in a pot to buy it. As for the calculation of time, I think this goal will be completed before July next year. This short space of 1000 points will produce many stocks that have tripled or quintupled, so when we adjust, we will see more opportunities than fear of being submerged. I wish my friends a smooth investment!
28 likes 5857 and visits 20 16-06- 17.
Stock market forecast? _ Few people know the operation skills.
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