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If Zhuge Liang chooses to recuperate instead of the Northern Expedition, what will the future of Shu be like?

In this way, Shu Han will have no future, and even go to extinction immediately. Today, many people have a misunderstanding about Romance of the Three Kingdoms. They take it for granted that the "three countries" are interdependent and cannot break the balance. But in fact, only Wu and Shu are interdependent. The so-called loss of lips and cold teeth only refer to Wu and Shu. This is a good explanation of why there were constant wars in the Three Kingdoms period. Because there are two "interdependent" relationships, one and the other two are "life and death" relationships.

Who is Zhuge Liang? He is good at internal affairs construction, logistics planning and arranging troops, but do you call him radical? No, Kong Ming has been cautious all his life, but he is actually very conservative on the basis of tactics. Both empty city tactics and going to the valley are made up of romance. When it comes to military talent, he does have it, but he is not a first-class strategist in the Three Kingdoms. Can such a wise and resourceful person see the situation more clearly than we do in 1800 years? Can make a move?

In fact, Zhuge Liang did not blindly explore the North, and there was still great hope for the first Northern Expedition. At that time, Cao Wei thought that Liu Bei was dead and no one in Shu and Han could wage war. Then, the news of Zhuge Liang's Northern Expedition came suddenly. At that time, Cao Wei was unprepared in the ruling and opposition, and people were in panic. In the northwest, Cao Wei has weak control and little military strength, while the Qiang people are strong and the Ma family has great influence in the western regions. Therefore, when Zhuge Liang first made the Northern Expedition, the cities in west Gansu surrendered in succession. It's a pity that the failure of street kiosks has lost all the good forms. After that, Cao Wei in the north was already on guard, and it was even harder to make a difference.

"Zhuge was cautious all his life" because he knew that Shu could not afford to gamble. Forced gambling can be played in Wei and Jin Dynasties, but the capital of Shu State is too small. One careless move will lose the game. All previous Northern Expeditions were like this. Regardless of victory or defeat, except for the first time that Ma Su lost the street pavilion, the losses of other northern expeditions to Shu were very small. Zhuge Liang is the most strategist who can calculate gains and losses since ancient times, and never does business at a loss. His northern expedition strategy can be summarized in one sentence: "A small victory is a big victory, and time is used to change space."

Zhuge Liang will not perish in his lifetime. Shu can take advantage of its geographical advantages to defend Shu, but after Zhuge Liang's death, Shu will perish quickly, because Zhuge Liang is the only one who holds the position of politician, strategist and military commander. Once Zhuge Liang dies, Shu will be greatly reduced militarily, militarily and politically, and the death of Shu soldiers will also be accelerated.