After three days of large-scale decline in pig prices, there has been a certain upward trend in grassroots pig prices in these two days.
Many farmers also collect the general trend of domestic pig prices in the future.
Since the fourth quarter of this year, the state's efforts to regulate the price of live pigs at the grassroots level have continued to increase, and the National Development and Reform Commission has also made a clear statement on the price of live pigs in the near future.
From the perspective of regulation, the price of grass-roots pigs will once again usher in new market variables in the future.
For the farmers who intend to cover the price, the risks faced by everyone will become greater and greater.
Today, the pig god of wealth will focus on collecting the market price of grass-roots pigs for everyone. There are three major risks. I hope farmers will remain vigilant.
Let's talk about the specific situation together.
Pig prices plummeted? The Central Committee is serious! Pig price drops per catty 1.74 yuan, beware of three major risks!
Pig God of Wealth said: After the end of June, 1 1, the price of grass-roots pigs fluctuated greatly.
Especially from165438+1October 10 up to now, the mainstream purchase price of grass-roots pigs has fluctuated inertia.
Up to now, the price of live pigs at the grass-roots level has remained in the market range of112 yuan, which is a sharp drop from the end of 10.
According to incomplete statistics, the purchase price of live pigs at the grass-roots level has decreased by 1.74 yuan.
When the market situation becomes so severe, farmers should be more cautious when selling pigs.
Although the basic pig price has been picking up in June165438+1October 18, it does not mean that the domestic pig price will usher in an inflection point.
Especially after the country has started to put in reserve meat for many times, the price of live pigs will not rise sharply.
Judging from the current market, once again, we can see that the policy has a great impact on the regulation of pig prices at the grassroots level.
Just these two days, the spokesperson of the National Development and Reform Commission once again made a clear voice on the price of pigs at the grassroots level. Let's collect it first
In June165438+1October 65438+June, Meng Wei, spokesman of the National Development and Reform Commission, said at the press conference in June165438+1October that the National Development and Reform Commission would closely collect the live pig market trends and continue to put in the central pork reserve in a timely manner.
If necessary, it will further increase investment and guide all localities to invest in local reserves simultaneously.
Through this response, it also explains two things for us again!
Dongxi 1: Even if the price of live pigs rises in the future, the regulation at the policy level will increase, and the price of live pigs at the grass-roots level is bound to rise sharply.
The second thing: At the same time when the country starts to put in reserve meat, all localities will also jointly put in corresponding reserve meat, which will have an impact on the rising pig price in a short time.
Therefore, the basic pig price lacks the basis of price increase, and the price increase space is limited.
For us farmers, there are three risks. I hope everyone will remain vigilant!
Risk 1: the price of live pigs will rise in the short term, so farmers should never raise prices blindly;
Pig God of Wealth said: Many farmers are willing to put the focus of selling pigs in the later stage, especially after the repeated fluctuations in the price of primary pigs in the early stage, farmers' willingness to raise prices has loosened.
Although the purchase price of live pigs has rebounded in the short term recently, such an operation will make you face an increasingly passive situation and the market risk will become greater and greater. I hope everyone can take a long view.
Risk 2: feed prices continue to rise, and cash flow risks increase;
Pig God of Wealth said: Since the beginning of June 165438+ 10, the prices of grass-roots corn, soybean meal and other feed raw materials have been rising continuously.
In particular, the price of soybean meal increased by 55.8% month-on-month, 55.8% year-on-year and 8.2% month-on-month.
The price of soybean meal at the grass-roots level ushered in a sharp price increase, which directly affected the cost of raising pigs.
For our farmers, it is necessary to closely collect the cash flow of pig breeding.
Risk 3:165438+1in late October, the price of grass-roots pigs will usher in more intensive fluctuations;
Pig God of Wealth said: Judging from the rise and fall of the pig market, after the end of June 1 1, the market challenge of grass-roots pig prices will be more intensive.
Especially with the emergence of ups and downs, farmers' mentality of selling pigs will also face an impact.
Everyone should be more rational in judging the market situation of grass-roots pigs. Never blindly choose to sell pigs or cover the price. Only by adjusting the rhythm of pig slaughter in time and arranging pig slaughter in batches can we avoid the market risk of pig price at the grassroots level.
Now that 2022 is over, the state's attitude and position on the regulation of the pig market is very clear, and there is no opportunity for speculation in the price of pigs at the grassroots level.
For our farmers, I hope everyone can combine the benefits of raising pigs, raise pigs in a down-to-earth manner and sell pigs in an orderly manner.
At present, the ratio of pig to grain is maintained at 8.57: 1, and farmers' income from selling pigs can be guaranteed.
Here, I still call on everyone to take action, look at the bottom right corner at the end of the article, and praise the national food price and pig price related regulation policies together.