After the official publication of the No.1 Document of the Central Committee in 2023, agriculture, rural areas and farmers have ushered in a series of favorable opportunities.
For us farmers, it is also good news recently.
Since late February, pig prices in the north and south have shown a series of favorable rising prices.
While the price of pigs is rising, the price of feed raw materials is falling, and the risk of loss faced by farmers is greatly reduced.
According to the current supply and demand situation and policy regulation of the grass-roots pig market, there are still a series of favorable changes in pig prices in late February, especially after the issuance of the No.1 document of the Central Committee, pig prices and food prices have also ushered in a series of new regulations.
For farmers like us, after the start of late February, everyone should also be alert to a great risk. Let's talk about the specific situation together.
Just recently, a series of restorative changes have taken place in the grass-roots pig market.
Since February 12, the price of grass-roots pigs has risen steadily for several days, and the increase has continued to expand.
According to the big data of grassroots mainstream pig market, the mainstream biological price of pigs remained at14.10 ~15.01yuan, and the price of grassroots pigs increased by 3.45% ~ 4.62% from the previous month and by15.67% ~/year-on-year.
At present, the mainstream price of grass-roots pigs has stood above 14 yuan. For our farmers, the pressure we face to eat is gradually reducing.
Especially with the steady rise of pig prices, the prices of corn and soybean meal have fallen repeatedly. Now the price of corn has dropped to 2903 yuan per ton, and the price of soybean meal has also dropped to 4930 yuan per ton.
According to the current big data of the grass-roots pig market, the overall pig-to-grain ratio at the grass-roots level is maintained at 5. 17: 1, and farmers' pig-raising income has passed the loss line.
For every pig farmer, at this moment, we must seize the opportunity to raise pigs and choose the right time to arrange for pigs to be slaughtered.
Compared with the favorable changes of pig prices at the grass-roots level, grain prices have shown some weakness in recent times.
However, with the official release of the No.1 Document of the Central Committee, a series of favorable regulations have been ushered in in food prices and pig prices.
There are three points that I hope farmers can understand. Four words, that is, two liters and one tone!
1 increase: this year, the state's subsidy funds for the grain industry will usher in further growth.
According to the relevant provisions of the No.1 Document of the Central Committee, the state will further increase subsidies to agricultural producers such as corn and soybeans this year, and will continue to expand the planting area of soybean oil crops.
It can be seen that in 2023, farmers will receive more subsidies for planting corn and soybeans, and the expected output of corn and soybeans will also usher in steady growth.
The second increase: China's total grain output will usher in an all-round increase in 2023, which is the specific requirement formulated by the No.1 Document of the Central Committee.
This year, the national grain production capacity should be kept above 1.3 trillion Jin, and the state officially launched a new round of 1000 billion Jin grain production capacity improvement action.
Especially this year, the state has also made requirements for soybean meal, and will officially start the soybean meal reduction substitution action.
For our farmers, in terms of feeding, the era of high-priced soybean meal will gradually end, and the feeding cost of farmers will be further reduced. For grain farmers, after the reduction of soybean meal substitution, corn prices will also usher in a new round of market-oriented opportunities.
1 Adjustment: In 2023, the state will continue to strengthen the regulation of the live pig market, especially to comprehensively stabilize the production capacity of live pigs, ensure the stable production and supply of live pigs, take overall responsibility for saving, and strengthen the regulation of the production capacity of live pigs, mainly for breeding sows in agriculture.
Moreover, with the official arrival in late February, after repeated shocks, the pig-grain ratio at the grass-roots level has been lower than 5: 1 for several days. Although the ratio of pig to grain has completely recovered to the level of 5: 1 or above, it is still in a relatively low state.
It is very likely that the country will officially start a new round of reserve storage at the end of February and early March to promote the return of pig prices to a reasonable range as soon as possible.
Judging from the news of the above two increases and one adjustment, in 2023, the state has formulated a perfect pig price and food price support plan.
We believe that the farming income of our farmers will not be bad this year.
However, after the start of March, the risk is greater, and I hope that the majority of pig farmers will collect it. After all, the price of grass-roots pigs has shown a favorable momentum of rising again and again.
If we farmers can't treat it correctly, or even continue to choose to raise prices, we will face more and more market risks.
Therefore, while the pig market is beginning to pick up, it is most important for pig farmers to sell pigs rationally. Don't speculate blindly and gamble in the market.
In 2023, as a crucial year to promote rural revitalization in an all-round way, I urge all farmers to take action and click "Take a look" in the lower right corner of the article to praise the country's rural revitalization strategy and the series of control policies on pig prices and food prices.
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