There is a problem that must be clarified. Wei Shuwu is divided into three parts in the world, and the strongest national strength is always Cao Wei. Cao Wei occupies two-thirds of the world, and his counselors and generals, as well as national strength and strength, are far above Shu and Wu. Most importantly, the successive rulers of Cao Wei Group, Cao Cao, Cao Pi and Cao Rui, were all mediocre.
Especially after Cao Rui reached the summit, he once adopted Sun Tzu's advice, avoided war, closed the door to the outside world, rested, and dragged down Wu and Shu with national strength. After the implementation of this strategy, Cao Wei not only had the strongest national strength, but also had a stable social order, so that the people could stay away from war and not have to perform military service. In a state where people live and work in peace and harmony.
Theoretically, Zhuge Liang could never help Shu Han win the Central Plains in one fell swoop.
Why did Zhuge Liang want the Northern Expedition? Why attack the strong with the weak? Why should we continue to adhere to the Northern Expedition after repeated wars and defeats?
To put it simply, he was forced.
The first sentence of the model:
Profits have dried up, and this is the autumn of crisis.
This sentence is the real reason for Zhuge Liang's Northern Expedition. Because Cao Wei's national strength is strong, Shu Han's national strength is sleepy. In addition, Cao Rui stays at home, avoids war, stresses politics, economy, agriculture, country, people, soldiers and rest. In this case, Zhuge Liang felt very scared. Is this the autumn of crisis? This is really a critical moment of life and death.
If you don't go to the Northern Expedition, you will sit quietly and wait for death. The northern expedition, there is a chance.
As for why Shu Han can't recuperate, this problem is complicated, so I won't say much here, because this is not the key to this problem, and I'm afraid it will be endless in the future.
Back to the topic
If Zhuge Liang defended the street kiosks in the first Northern Expedition, could he win the Central Plains in one fell swoop?
The answer is no?
I have said more than once that successfully guarding the street pavilion is only the first step of Zhuge Liang's success in the Northern Expedition. There are still 2345, 6 or even 7890J behind, and there is still a long way to go. But this is really just the beginning.
The success of the street pavilion guards can only prove that the Northern Expeditionary Army can win Longxi County, and the five counties in Longyou monopolize the fourth place. That's all! His next thought is not how to attack, but how to hold these four counties.
Even if Zhuge Liang captured four counties, the battle was still not easy. Zhang He's 50,000-strong army, Cao Zhen's ace division, Liangzhou's crucial team, and Cao Wei's main force were basically unscathed. Zhuge Liang was still sandwiched between Liangzhou Army and Guanzhong Army, and was attacked by Cao Wei on several sides.
Besides, Zhao Yun's suspected soldiers will be defeated by Cao Zhen sooner or later. Cao Zhen can leave Gu Jie Road or Chencang Road at any time, go around the rear of Longyou area, attack from the rear, and isolate Zhuge Liang's four counties in Longyou.
Therefore, even if you hold the street pavilion, the first Northern Expedition is still not optimistic.
To say the least, even if Zhuge Liang holds the four counties and successfully wins Liangzhou, what can he do? At best, it can only prove that Sun Tzu's strategy of taking risks and resting is wrong. What will Cao Rui do, give up the strategy of dragging down his opponent with national strength and turn from defensive to offensive? Right, Soochow? Clear the strong wall? , make every effort to recover longyou, liangzhou area, and even counterattack to shu.
At most, Cao Rui changed his strategy and solved the problem by defeating the enemy without fighting.