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20 19 Spring Festival travel rush forecast big data?
Bus stations and railway stations are full of people coming and going, and the atmosphere of returning home is particularly strong. Recently, Tencent Map released "20 19 Spring Festival travel rush Forecast Big Data Report", which predicted and analyzed the trend of outbound travel in Spring Festival travel rush this year from the perspectives of migration, congestion and tourism in various parts of the country, and provided big data reference for Spring Festival travel rush travelers. Let's take a look at what we should pay attention to during the Spring Festival with the platform of Lubao.

Shenzhen Dongguan is the most "slimming" Suzhou surpasses Guangzhou and Hangzhou.

According to the report, this year's Spring Festival travel rush starts from June 65438+1 October 2 1 (the 16th day of the twelfth lunar month) and ends on March1(the 25th day of the first month). Among them, the peak of returning home before the holiday starts from 65438+1October 22nd (the 17th of the twelfth lunar month) and lasts until February 3rd (the 29th of the twelfth lunar month), of which 65438+1October 30th (the 25th of the twelfth lunar month) reaches its peak before the holiday and falls to the bottom on New Year's Eve.

After the New Year, it is expected that the post-holiday return peak will climb all the way from February 7th (the third day of the first month), reach a peak in February 10 (the sixth day of the first month), then drop slightly, and reach another small peak on February 20th (the sixteenth day of the first month).

According to the top 10 cities in the report, in addition to the recognized first-tier cities such as Beishangguangshen and Shenzhen, regional central cities such as Chengdu, Zhengzhou and Wuhan, as well as migrant workers' cities such as Dongguan, Suzhou and Foshan are impressively listed. Obviously, these attractive cities are either economically developed or full of development potential.

Zhengzhou Station, the "heart of the railway", will meet the test again, and Kunming and Haikou airports will not lose to the north, Guangzhou and Shenzhen.

The data shows that the most commonly used means of transportation during Spring Festival travel rush is still the train, accounting for more than half, and the status of "Iron Boss" is difficult to shake in a short time; Followed by cars, accounting for 43%; Aircraft only account for about 6%, and there is still great potential to be tapped.

As the center of China Railway, Zhengzhou has become the most popular railway station in China. Guangzhou South Railway Station, hangzhou east railway station and shanghai hongqiao railway station are expected to rank second, third and fourth respectively, mainly concentrated in first-tier cities and densely populated regional central cities.

During the rush hour in Spring Festival travel rush, in addition to the airports in the first-tier cities in Beijing, Guangzhou and Shenzhen, there will also be popular tourist destinations such as Changshui in Kunming and Meilan in Haikou.

Wuhan and Nanjing have the most young people returning home, while Chengdu and Chongqing have the most sister papers.

Young people have always been the main force in traveling during the Spring Festival. According to the report, the population aged 18-30 is expected to account for 53%, and on the way home, it accounts for more than half. 3 1-40 years old is also more, accounting for about 24%. According to cities, the top five cities with the highest proportion of people aged 18-30 are Wuhan, Nanjing, Zhengzhou, Chongqing and Xi 'an, and the north, Guangzhou and Shenzhen rank lower. From this perspective, cities such as Wuhan and Nanjing may be younger and more energetic than those in Guangzhou, Guangzhou and Shenzhen.

On social platforms, some netizens think that there are more men than women studying and working in other places. Today, the report gives a clear answer: nationwide, the ratio of men and women returning home during the Spring Festival is about 6: 4, which means that men are about 50% higher than women. According to statistics, the cities with the highest proportion of women are Chengdu, Chongqing and Xi 'an, both of which exceed 40%.

According to educational background, undergraduate education accounts for the highest proportion of the returning population in Spring Festival travel rush, followed by high school and junior high school. The cities with the highest academic qualifications (bachelor/master/doctor) are Nanjing, Wuhan, Xi and Beijing. The reason is that there are many colleges and universities in these cities, and a large number of students return home during the Spring Festival.

It is difficult to get out of Enshi, Sichuan and Chongqing on the provincial boundary highway in the Yangtze River Delta of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei.

In recent years, more and more "old drivers" travel by car during the Spring Festival. The report specifically analyzes and sorts out a national high-speed congestion forecast for the reference of "old drivers".

As we all know, holiday toll stations are most prone to traffic jams. The report shows that during the period of Spring Festival travel rush in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, most of the congestion toll stations were provincial toll stations, which appeared in the border areas of Tianjin-Hebei, Hebei-Shandong, Hebei-Shanxi, Hebei-Liaoning and Beijing-Hebei. In terms of time, it is expected that there will be a large congestion distance in 10- 12 in the morning before the festival and 16- 18 after the festival.

In the Yangtze River Delta, the border areas between Zhejiang and Anhui, Jiangsu and Zhejiang, Shanghai and Jiangsu, Jiangsu and Anhui, and Zhejiang and Jiangxi are generally congested. The congestion time is113 in the morning before the holiday and 17- 19 after the holiday.

In the Pearl River Delta region, the congestion toll stations are all located in Guangdong Province, concentrated around central cities such as Guangzhou and Shenzhen, and the inter-provincial border areas leading to Hunan and Jiangxi. The congestion time is the same as that in the Yangtze River Delta. Shen Chang Expressway Dongjiang Bridge to Taimei Service Area and Guanfo Expressway Tanweili to Humen Bridge are expected to become the most congested highway sections before and after the festival.

In Chengdu-Chongqing area, the major toll stations in Chongqing are as congested as ever. Two toll stations in Enshi, located in the border area of Hubei and Chongqing, became the most congested toll stations before and after the holiday.

Old Town of Lijiang remains the most popular cultural and historical attraction.

In addition to returning home, the Spring Festival is also a good time to travel. According to the report, among the 259 5A-level tourist attractions in China, Hengshan Mountain Scenic Area, Huashan Mountain Scenic Area and Enshi Grand Canyon will rank among the top three most popular natural scenic spots, while Old Town of Lijiang, Langzhong Ancient City Scenic Area and Taierzhuang Ancient City are the top three most popular cultural and historical scenic spots.

It is worth noting that of the 20 scenic spots with relatively popular natural scenery and cultural relics, only 6 are located in the north of the Yellow River. It seems that during the Spring Festival, people still tend to spend their holidays in the southern city of Bloom.

Everyone loves Southeast Asia, and Wenzhou people like to go to Italy for the New Year.

Not only domestic tourism, but also China's outbound tourism will reach its peak around the Spring Festival. According to the report, Southeast Asia, Korean, Japanese, Indian, Russian and other neighboring countries will become the most popular destinations for China tourists. Among them, the most popular Korean outbound cities are Yanbian, Qingdao, Weihai, Shenyang, Harbin and other northeastern cities and Shandong Peninsula cities near South Korea, while Russian outbound cities include Mudanjiang, Harbin, Hulunbeier and Heihe near the Sino-Russian border.

However, the popular departure cities in Southeast Asia are not limited to major cities in Yunnan, but distributed in first-tier cities and quasi-first-tier cities, as well as Quanzhou and Dongguan all over the country. It can be said that "everyone loves Southeast Asia".

The United States is the only exit destination that is not "around" China. TOP5 are Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen and Chengdu. It is worth noting that among the popular departure cities in Italy, non-first-tier cities such as Wenzhou and Lishui are on the list. It seems that "Zhejiang businessmen are famous all over the world".

After 85, I love going to Korea. Women go abroad, love romance and shopping.

By age, teenagers under 18 like to go to Southeast Asian countries best, and those over 60 like developed countries in Europe and America best. Further research shows that the favorite countries after 1980s are South Korea, Singapore, Switzerland, United Arab Emirates and Vietnam, covering East Asia, Southeast Asia and Europe. The favorite countries after 90 are the Philippines, India, Singapore, Malaysia and Cambodia, all in Southeast Asia. The favorite countries after 1995 are Myanmar, Russia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Germany, covering Southeast Asia and Europe.

According to gender, the most interesting destinations for female tourists are France, Thailand, Switzerland, Japan, South Korea and other countries, which are either romantic cities or shopping paradise. Male tourists are more interested, with the most destinations including India, Indonesia, United Arab Emirates, Russia and the Philippines.

According to reports, the data of this report mainly comes from Tencent map, data of major national high-speed toll stations during the Spring Festival of Tencent Location Service 20 18, passenger flow data of airports, railway stations, 5A-level scenic spots and outbound travel data. I hope it will help everyone's travel.

Source: Zhihu Daily.