20 10 nine popular application technologies forecast: e-book readers have achieved longer battery life, color touch screen and more and more market power this year; In 20 10, it is still uncertain whether this still expensive platform will increase greatly and bring more profits to related chip suppliers. Amazon and Sony are the early leaders of e-book readers, but their next road may become more and more difficult; This situation is also caused by many backward manufacturers, including Barnes &; Noble, Plastic Logic, which is independent from Cambridge University, and many Taiwan Province manufacturers (including BenQ and Foxconn) are about to face it ... Some people speculate that Apple will join in. According to the estimate of the market research organization MediaIdeas, the global shipment of e-book readers in 2008 was 165438+ million, and this number will increase to 6 million next year. In-Stat, another research institute, predicts that the market of semiconductor components related to e-book readers will reach 1 1 billion dollars in 20 13 years. After several years of discussion, the concept of smart grid was finally standardized and related plans were launched in 2009. John Doerr, a senior venture capitalist, said that an open, digital and networked power supply network will be the last great network construction case we have seen in our life. Doerr pointed out that the economic scale of the Internet today is 1 trillion dollars, and the global online population is about 654,380+0.2 billion. The energy industry has a scale of 6 trillion US dollars and a population of 4 billion. For various reasons, there is no innovation in this field. The United States recently adopted a smart grid plan with an investment of $8 billion, and China, India and Africa may follow suit. However, in this field, there are still many national regulations, commercial and technical obstacles to be overcome; In order to promote the use of alternative energy and the establishment of smart grid, it is necessary for governments to legislate. Another worrying question is whether there are enough experienced engineers to complete the deployment of global smart grid in the future. The combination of (printing) roller manufacturing technology and innovative material technology is expected to make a large number of battery, led, memory, RFID tag, solar cell and other components as thin as paper at low cost by roller-to-roller process; This concept is well known, but in fact, this technology is not easy. Many manufacturers have tried but failed. However, manufacturers, including German manufacturer PolyIC, did not back down. The company recently released a 20-bit plastic memory module, which was produced by the scroll bar process. In addition, new companies such as Solarmer Energy and Konarka are trying to produce solar cells by rolling bars. Japanese manufacturer Konica Minolta is developing LED components produced by scroll bars. The above research and development are very attractive, but the scroll bar technology seems not ready to subvert the world. MEMS gyroscopes will soon give birth to smarter smartphones and better joysticks or remote controls. The existing MEMS gyroscopes are mostly used to stabilize the images taken by digital cameras and high-end mobile phones. In 20 10, these components will also be stationed in 3D peripheral devices such as GPS and wireless air mouse. MEMS gyroscope is expected to bring innovation to gesture recognition and remote menu control interface, and replace the traditional keyboard and mouse. However, it should be noted that some 3D peripherals failed to win the favor of users in the past, and many similar technologies will become competitors of MEMS gyroscopes. Do you want a mobile phone with a built-in mini-projector? This new device can project the picture on a small screen onto a larger wall or plane, which means that users can choose a more comfortable screen size at any time to watch movies or make commercial presentations. Manufacturers include TI, Microvision and Micron. Both have entered this field, and Samsung and LG will also launch related mobile phone products. However, it is understood that there are more than 100 mini-projector products on the market, most of which are independent projector equipment (about the size of garage door remote control); Analysts predict that at present, the global shipments of mini-projector are about 2-3 million units, with few embedded units. The obstacles to embedding mini-projector into mobile phones and other devices may be far greater than we thought. One of the problems is power consumption and heat generation. In addition, related display elements also need to overcome the problem of mass production, and the prices of related products are still very expensive. Persuading consumers to accept this new gadget is also an arduous task. According to statistics, Americans spent a total of $2.5 trillion on medical care last year alone (18% of US GDP). Everyone is looking for ways to reduce medical costs. Now there is a way to move medical monitoring equipment to home, especially for some patients with chronic diseases caused by stress and obesity. Jonathan Collins, an analyst at market research firm ABI Research, predicts that the current shipment of wearable health care equipment (mainly sports or weight-loss instruments) is about11650,000 units, and by 20 14, this number will expand to 420 million units, of which 59 million units are for home use. Collins said that the popularity of wireless technologies, including Bluetooth and Wi-Fi, will also make the networking of home medical devices easier. Through home medical monitoring equipment and sensor network, we can automatically analyze everyone's weight, vital signs and sleep status, and find health problems at an early stage; In addition, such equipment can also make silver-haired people live longer in the aging age and live safer at home. But a thorny question is, who is willing to invest in these home health care systems and services? In addition, the development of related telemedicine technology is still in its infancy. The standardization work related to telemedicine is also in the development stage, including how to transmit personal health information collected by home medical monitoring instruments safely through the network, the connection and data exchange between medical implanted equipment and medical equipment, etc. These are the efforts of related standards bodies such as the Sports and Health Alliance. It is understood that the above tasks involve a wide range, and I am afraid it will take 10 years to complete. Android was born in 2009, and by 20 10, devices using the operating system platform developed by Google will be everywhere. Although there are still many doubts about Google's commitment to push Android to devices other than mobile phones, it may be difficult for the consumer electronics industry to resist this trend. In the future, including TVs, set-top boxes, portable GPS devices and MP3 players, you may see the shadow of Google and Android. However, various manufacturers actively seize the business opportunities of Android, including semiconductor IP suppliers such as ARM and MIPS, design service provider Aricent and EDA supplier Mentor Graphics. Japanese manufacturers have also set up an organization (OESF) to promote the application of Android in various embedded systems. There are also manufacturers in China and Singapore, and they also plan to launch consumer devices such as Android car navigation system. Including HTC, Motorola, Samsung and other mobile phone manufacturers, as well as many OEM/ODM factories in the Asia-Pacific region are also interested in developing various Android devices; However, large manufacturers in the field of consumer electronics, such as Panasonic and Sony, still hold a wait-and-see attitude towards Android. There are reasons to have reservations about whether Android can enter the broader consumer electronics market; The platform was originally designed for smart phones, and the supported processors are limited, so it cannot support C language applications. Therefore, related design tool suppliers, chip manufacturers and software designers must also find ways to break through these restrictions. Biology/Medical Electronics According to statistics, there are currently 2.5 million people in the world who use medical implants, mainly pacemakers and defibrillators. . The maturity of this technology and medical technology has prompted medical personnel and equipment manufacturers to further develop medical implant devices for wider human bodies such as nervous system. Nerve and brain stimulators can be used to control symptoms including Alzheimer's disease, epilepsy, addiction, depression or incontinence; Some implanted devices will administer drugs to specific human organs by oral administration or injection to reduce possible side effects on the stomach or blood. As for the research and development of electronic organs, it is a long way, and it is still going on, such as the artificial pancreas developed for diabetic patients; In addition, many research cases have made progress in artificial retina and started clinical trials. However, there are still many obstacles to overcome in the laws and regulations, industry and technology of bioelectronics. Any implanted device has to go through several years of animal and human experiments before it can be really applied. Under the trend of rising costs, health care service providers still insist that once each medical device is approved for use, it proves that it saves people more money and improves the medical quality of patients; However, manufacturers of medical devices have not found a cost-effective way to connect medical implanted devices to the network of remote medical monitoring instruments. In terms of technology, medical electronic equipment developers are still looking for better interface technology, which can connect electronic equipment with human organs and tissues, transmit clear signals and avoid infection. At the same time, various medical implants are moving towards a new generation of less invasive molecular technology, that is, through the study of DNA and protein, various symptoms can be treated at a smaller level. Touch Screen Since the advent of the iPhone, every smartphone manufacturer has listed the touch screen as a prerequisite for its products. The birth of touch screen was probably in the1960s, but until the birth of iPhone, most of the consumer applications of this technology were self-help navigation devices or ATM machines. Touch screen allows users to directly interact with the contents displayed on the screen, including resistive, infrared, capacitive and surface acoustic wave, and can detect the contact position of fingers on the screen; Only one projected capacitive touch technology can support multi-touch applications. There are invisible capacitors arranged in a grid on the projection capacitive touch screen, and each capacitor can independently detect the finger position; This screen can therefore support multi-touch commands, such as sliding the index finger and thumb on the screen to enlarge and reduce the picture, which is the most famous function of iPhone and iPod Touch. Other brands including HTC, Motorola, Palm, LG and Sony Ericsson have similar product features. According to ABI Research's market survey, the global touch screen market for portable devices may reach $5 billion this year. However, the touch screen also has a disadvantage, that is, it will leave fingerprints on the display; At present, several new coating technologies claim to reduce the above problems, but the only way to absolutely avoid leaving fingerprints may be to use a stylus instead of a finger. 3D TVs, including Panasonic and Sony, are actively trying to send 3D TVs into the living rooms of ordinary people's homes. The question is whether you want to buy one or not. Some manufacturers who support 3D display technology are optimistic, but on the other hand, I am afraid there are still many doubts about asking consumers whether 3D TV is so easy to enter the living room of ordinary families. Here are seven question marks that you may also have: 1 Show 3D content? -When the pictures of 3D movies are displayed in 3D, subtitles will pop up ... This may be a bit strange for the audience, but Panasonic also said that there is no clear solution at present. 2. How to use 3D pictures in live sports events and live activities? -To present baseball or football scenes in 3D, there must be a new method. At present, photographers and TV producers may not have enough experience or know what to do. 3. quality 3. 3D animation is good, but what about other content? -The production technology of 3D animated films is mature, but it is still a test to use 3D technology to express the real-world film content. As long as it is not handled well, the audience will notice it immediately, because we live in a real 3D world. 4. Do I have to wear ridiculous glasses? No matter what kind of stereoscopic glasses are used, consumers may want to ask, "Do you have to wear those glasses all the time when watching 3d TV?" Moreover, most people often do other things while watching TV, such as eating or reading newspapers. It's really inconvenient to wear those glasses. 5. How much is a 3D TV? So far, no supplier has disclosed the price of the new 3D Blu-ray drive or 3D TV. With the global economy so depressed and consumers' wallets so flat, it's hard to say whether they are willing to spend a lot of money on novel electronic products ... unless they are technology fanatics. 6. What? And 3D PC? -You heard me right. The one from Sony did say that he planned to launch VAIO series computers supporting 3D display. Although PC has gradually become an "entertainment device", people are still curious about what that new product will look like. Unfortunately, Sony did not disclose more information. 7. Is watching 3D TV harmful to your eyes? -This last question mark is also the most critical question of 3D video. At present, there is not enough medical research or relevant evidence to show what kind of damage will be caused to the eyes by watching 3D movies for several hours. If there is such a negative effect, the market may really be finished. At present, the most practical technology: home appliances, computers, mobile phones, cars, electric fans, washing machines, air conditioners. At present, the most practical technology: construction, decoration, housekeeping.