According to historical records, Guo Tu once said: "Ten encirclement and five attacks, the situation is like an overwhelming hand ... from time to time, it is difficult to figure it out later", of course, it is the main battle; Monsoon's attitude is not clear, but if he opposes the decisive battle, it should be put on record. What's more, monsoon and Shen Pei * * * are armies, which seems to be the main battle.
The Romance of the Three Kingdoms wrote:
..... (Yuan Shao) called a hundred officials of civil and military forces to discuss how to arise and crusade against Cao Cao. Tian Feng, the counselor, said, "The soldiers are in a state of chaos, the people are in dire straits, and the grain depot is not accumulated, so it is impossible to raise an army. The first one to offer the son of heaven. If it fails, say that Cao Cao is out of my kingship, and then send troops to Liyang; Mostly in Hanoi, get ships, repair weapons, send elite soldiers, and wait. Within three years, big things can be decided. " Counselor Shen Peidao: "Otherwise. As a public official, it is a piece of cake for SHEN WOO to force Fuhe and Shuo and dispatch troops to crusade against cao thief. Why delay the sun and the moon? " Counselor Ju Shou said: "Richness is not the key to success. Cao Cao's statutes are good and his foot soldiers are simple, which is different from Gongsun Zan's being trapped. Now abandon the good strategy of winning, promote the nameless soldiers, and steal it for the public. " Counselor Guo Tu said, "Not really. Adding soldiers to Cao Cao is nameless? Justice should be a timely and early cause. I hope that from Zheng Shangshu's words, I can fight side by side with Liu Bei to destroy cao thief, which is in line with God's will and people's feelings. What a blessing! " These four men are indecisive and indecisive. Suddenly Xu You and Xun Xun came in from the outside. Shao said, "You two are more knowledgeable. See how to advocate it. " After the two saluted, Shao said, "Zheng Shangshu has a book and asked me to help Liu Bei and attack Cao Cao. Get up. Still not fighting? " The two men said in unison: "It is right to build the army." Shao said, "What they saw was exactly what I wanted." ……
The biography of Xian Di records:
Shao Jiang, Ju Shou and Tian Feng remonstrated, saying, "Over the years, the people have been exhausted, and there is no accumulation in the warehouse. Paying tribute only to Yin is also a deep worry for this country. It is advisable to advance the envoy Xian Di Jie and take agriculture as the people's benefit; If I can't get through, that is to say, Cao Shi broke away from my kingly way, then entered Liyang, and gradually set up camp in Henan. Thanks to making boats, repairing equipment, and sending fine riders, he couldn't settle down. I used this as an escape. In three years, things can be settled. " Shen Pei and Guo Tu said, "With the method of the art of war, attack it on ten sides and attack it on five sides, and the enemy can fight. Today, SHEN WOO, a public figure, is a powerful force, crossing the river to defeat Cao Shi. For example, if you cover your hands, take it from time to time today, and it will be difficult to draw in the future. " Grant said: "It is called a righteous soldier to save the chaos and punish the violence; Relying on the strength of the masses is called arrogant soldiers. The righteousness of the soldiers is invincible, and the arrogant must be destroyed first. Cao Shi welcomes Tian Zi 'an Palace, and now it's against heaven to send troops to the south. The strategy of winning the temple is not strength. Cao Shi's statutes are good, his foot soldiers are simple, and he is not besieged by Gongsun Zan. Abandoning the art of Wan 'an today is to raise an unknown soldier and steal it for public fear! "Tu et al. said," When the King of Wu attacked Zhou, he didn't say anything unjust. He added Cao Shi to his army, and the cloud was nameless! Moreover, the minister of martial arts (exhausted) strength, the soldiers were angry, and people thought of themselves, but they did not decide on the great cause in time, and they were also worried about the loss. The husband's day, the husband's take, is hard to blame. The more so, the more Wu will die. The plan of supervising the army lies in implementation, not knowing the opportunity to change when the time comes. " Shao followed. ...
Jushou and Tian Feng said that the world is in chaos and the people are poor, and our emperor has just settled down. Is it reasonable for you to start this war at this time? No, now that we have acquired Jizhou, Qingzhou, Youzhou and Bingzhou, and eliminated Gongsun Zan in the north, we should report to the emperor what we have done for the stability and reunification of the country for so many years. If Cao Cao stops us from reporting, then we will take the opportunity to sue him, saying that he blocked Wang Lu. At the same time, we can use mobile warfare, guerrilla warfare and protracted war to deal with Cao Cao. We can send troops to harass him constantly, make him fidgety and tired, and then we can deal with him.
This opinion is correct. First, put Cao Cao in such an unjust position and turn Cao Cao's political advantage into his political disadvantage. This is called rationality. Using the strong to defeat the weak, waiting for the merits, and using mobile warfare, guerrilla warfare and protracted war to deal with Cao Cao, the cost is low, the risk is small and the benefit is great. This is called an advantage. Step by step, step by step, stop when you are good, and seize the opportunity to destroy Cao Cao. This is called restraint. Reasonable, favorable and constrained, such a strategy is a good strategy.
Yuan Shao didn't listen. Who will listen? Listen to Guo Tu, listen to Shen Pei, Shen Pei and Guo Tu all advocate that, according to Yuan Shao's decision, we should immediately assemble 100,000 chosen men and advance into Xu Du. So why do Shen Pei and Guo Tu advocate this? My personal opinion is that Shen Pei may be confused and Guo Tu is flattering, because Guo Tu knows very well that Yuan Shao is eager for quick success and instant benefit, ambitious, self-righteous and headstrong. Yuan Shao, he is very awesome now. He thinks he is great and powerful. He can swallow Wan Li like a tiger. He is eager to win now. He is eager to engage in mobile warfare, guerrilla warfare and protracted war. It will be three years before he can kill Cao Cao. He is impatient, unhappy and not handsome. Guo Tu knew Yuan Shao's character, and Guo Tu said, "This is unnecessary. Sun Tzu's art of war says that ten are encircling him, five are attacking him and the enemy is beating him. " What do you mean? That is, if our strength is ten times that of the enemy, we will surround him; If it is five times that of the enemy, we will attack; If we are just equal to the enemy, we can fight him. Now our army is ten times that of Cao Cao! Why are we doing this little trick? What about mobile warfare, guerrilla warfare and protracted war? With the wisdom of Yuan Gongzhi and SHEN WOO and the invincible strength of our army, it is a piece of cake to destroy a small Cao Cao!
This is a set of empty words, and flatterers are the best at saying such things. The flatterer's words are the most unreliable, but Yuan Shao is an flatterer, and he immediately became complacent. JuShou saw the situation is not good, and came out to speak. This time, the words of the giant hand are even heavier. Ranked first: pacify the turmoil and put an end to cruelty. This is called a volunteer; Arrogance and bullying others are called arrogance. A just soldier always wins, while an arrogant soldier always loses. Today, the son is in Xu, my teacher is unknown, but righteousness is against it, and I lost a trick in politics first; And we bully the weak and fear the hard, bully the weak and fear the hard, and lose another move morally; If we no longer pay attention to strategy, get quick success and instant benefit, take the initiative and fight it all in one battle, then we will lose another move strategically and this war will definitely not be won.
This sentence says, fundamentally speaking, what is war? War is a continuation of politics, so it is very important whether it is politically beneficial and morally reasonable to carry out a war, and Yuan Shao's loss lies in this place first. It can be said that political failure, moral irrationality and strategic missteps are the primary reasons for Yuan Shao's failure.