If time and space could be reversed, would Shu Han still perish when Zhuge Liang chose to recuperate instead of the Northern Expedition? The answer is yes, Shu Han will still perish, second only to Wu Dong. According to the relevant historical materials of Romance and the History of the Three Kingdoms, a brief analysis is as follows.
First of all, if Zhuge Liang did not go to the Northern Expedition and chose to recuperate, his manpower, strength and national strength would still exist, and he would not be powerless in the battle of Cao Wei to destroy Shu.
In the romance, Zhuge Liang went out of Qishan six times, and Jiang Wei cut down the Central Plains nine times, without even occupying Longyou. As for the metropolis Chang 'an, it is even more lamentable. However, Zhuge Liang and his successor, Jiang Wan, enjoyed the Northern Expedition for almost several years, wasting people and money. A few more northern expeditions like this would fall apart without Cao Wei's attack. In the end, Wargo led several exhausted troops and wiped out 50,000 guards in Zhuge Zhan in Mianzhu. Faced with the invasion of Wargo's army, Liu Chan had to submit a surrender. The related descriptions in romance novels are as follows:
The latter ordered his ministers to launch the palace gate, and ordered Qiao Zhou to make a letter of surrender, and sent the private department to wait on Xu, Deng Liangtong and Qiao Zhou to Luocheng. ?
For example, in the late Ming Dynasty, Jurchen in Liaodong rose and the Ming army was defeated repeatedly. It still thinks highly of itself and refuses to make peace with Houjin. The Ming Dynasty continued to add Liao tax to Liaodong bottomless pit, which led to people's poverty and large-scale peasant uprising. After the Ming dynasty, it fell into a desperate situation of internal troubles and foreign invasion, fighting on both sides and failing on both sides. Finally, Li Zicheng the conqueror invaded Beijing. This is a negative textbook that doesn't know how to be flexible and has been militaristic.
Secondly, if Zhuge Liang chose to rest for a period of time instead of the Northern Expedition, he could choose to attack Wu Dong first.
In Romance, the battle of Yiling in Shu and Han Dynasties was not a simple battle of revenge. Liu Bei is far-sighted, knowing that he has a few catties and two ounces. He is lucky to have captured Hanzhong, and it will be difficult to push forward. Liu Bei knew that it would be a great reward to make things difficult first and then easy. Therefore, Liu Bei sent 750,000 troops to crusade against Wu Dong in the name of revenge for his second brother Guan Yu. In fact, Liu Bei's real purpose may be to destroy Wu Dong before attacking Cao Wei. Cao Wei is stronger than Wu Dong and Shu Han combined. It is difficult to get twice the result with half the effort by blindly exploring the north like Zhuge Liang.
If Liu Bei, in the name of revenge against Guan Yu and Zhang Fei, unites as one, destroys Dongwu in one fell swoop, and integrates the manpower and material resources of six counties and eighty-one States in Jiangdong, he may be able to compete with Cao Wei. Some people retort that if Shu Han and Dongwu kill each other, they may benefit from Cao Wei. This possibility is not without, just very small. For example, during the Yiling War, Cao Wei sat quietly watching the war between Shu Han and Wu Dong. Others think that if Shu Han and Wu Dong fight a hard war, the victorious party will also suffer huge losses and cannot stop Cao Wei's attack.
There is no need to worry about this situation. After the baptism of war, the victorious party left behind all the elite soldiers, while Cao Wei was an egg shaped thing for the recruits who had never been to the battlefield after years of no war. The result is not known yet. For example, Zhu Yuanzhang defeated competitors such as Chen Youliang and Zhang Shicheng in the south and marched into the Northern Expedition, becoming the first and only winner of the Northern Expedition in ancient times.
Finally, if Zhuge Liang had chosen to recuperate instead of the Northern Expedition, he would not be the first person to die.
There is a saying: the world is not chaotic, chaos first, and the world has ruled Shu. This is determined by the political, military and geographical characteristics of Sichuan, which is easy to defend but difficult to attack and forms its own school. Bashu has always been a battleground for military strategists, and this is the last barrier. For example, at the end of the Eastern Han Dynasty, Ada entered Xichuan to lead Yizhou Pastoral, and broke off contact with the central government, becoming the first warlord to become independent. For example, in the Anshi Rebellion, they took refuge in Shu and used it as a rear base for restoring the Central Plains. There are many such examples.
However, during the Three Kingdoms period, Shu Han became the first country to perish, which had to be thought-provoking, which was different from the outcome of most Shu regimes. It's hard to get through the Shu Road, and it's hard to get to the sky. Not to mention that people even birds find it difficult to cross. Therefore, Shu Han has a natural barrier, but it has also been broken, which shows that Shu Han is an empty shell, and even Cao Wei's attack cannot be stopped. The repeated military actions of Zhuge Liang and Jiang Wei exhausted the national strength of Shu Han, and even the defense could not be done.
If Shu Han still has some strength and can resist several attacks by Cao Wei, Cao Wei will retreat and attack Wu Dong. Even if Shu Han perished, it was after Wu Dong.