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Gao De and Baidu's Travel Forecast for Spring Festival travel rush in 2020: expressway is the most congested in three years, and Anhui is bright!
When there are fewer and fewer subway people in the morning rush hour;

When more and more people pack their bags;

When the holiday is coming;

When the ticket is put on the agenda;

When there are fewer and fewer lights in the office building late at night;

There are more and more red lanterns hanging on the roadside.

......

The annual population migration named "Spring Festival travel rush" has also begun slowly.

According to the report, the peak of travel before the Spring Festival appeared in June 5438+ 10/8. Under the influence of free high-speed travel and visiting relatives and friends during the Spring Festival, it is expected that there will be a small peak in the national high-speed travel on June 5438+1October 26 (the second day of the first month).

After the Spring Festival, there will be a small return peak in expressway on February 2 (the eighth day of the first month) and February 9 (the sixteenth day of the first month).

Looking through the peak data of Spring Festival travel rush during the three years of 20 17-20 19, we can also see that the overall congestion trend in Spring Festival travel rush peak expressway is relatively consistent, but the congestion degree is increasing year by year, but it is not known whether the first year of ETC's comprehensive popularization will bring new opportunities.

High-speed congestion "hardest hit" is here.

Due to the official start of work on the seventh day of the first month, a large number of people concentrated on the fifth and sixth day of the first month and returned to their workplaces. It is estimated that during the whole period of Spring Festival travel rush this year, the peak of national high-speed travel will appear on June 30, 65438, that is, the sixth day of the first month.

From a national perspective, high-speed congestion is mainly distributed in the Yangtze River Delta, Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, western Sichuan, southern Hunan, Jingcheng, Enshi, Yili and other regions.

According to Gao De's report, in 2020, the congestion in expressway at the peak of Spring Festival travel rush may be the highest in the past three years, and the average congestion time in the most congested sections will exceed 7 hours/day.

Yangtze River Delta Region:

It is mainly the Chuzhou section of expressway in S22 Maeda (the intersection of Maeda expressway and National Highway 104- Chuzhou East Hub), followed by the Nanjing and Chuzhou sections of G36 Luoning expressway (Maqun Hub-Chuzhou East Hub).

The daytime congestion delay index of two expressway sections is greater than 7.0, and the average speed is only13 km/h.

Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area:

Mainly Guangzhou section of G0425 Guang 'ao Expressway (Hengli Interchange-Tan Wei Bridge), the daytime congestion delay index is 6. 1, and the average speed is only15 km/h;

Southern Hunan:

The daytime congestion delay index of Anyang and Handan sections of G4 Beijing-Hong Kong-Macao Expressway (north of Anyang River-north of Henan-Hebei service area) is 4.4, and the average speed of the two expressways is about17 km/h. ..

High accident rate during Spring Festival travel rush? Five times as much as usual

According to incomplete statistics, there are frequent accidents in Spring Festival travel rush, especially before the Spring Festival, which is five times as high as usual, and after the Spring Festival, it is twice as high as usual.

According to the statistical data of road traffic accidents in Anhui province in 20 19, the road sections with frequent traffic accidents and concentrated deaths in Anhui province were determined.

This 10 section is distributed on the national highway and expressway, with a mileage of100km.

At the same time, the latest traffic information from Anhui Communications Holding Group also provides more predictions for citizens to travel.

In addition, the reports of Baidu and Gaode also list the top ten cities with the biggest changes in population migration in China.

Top 10, the most congested city in Spring Festival travel rush.

According to Gao De's report, before the Spring Festival, the emigration mainly concentrated in the Yangtze River Delta, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, Lu Yu and other provinces.

The immigrant population in Guangzhou, Beijing, Chongqing, Shanghai and other cities will increase substantially. Especially in previous years, the phenomenon of "empty city" which was often staged in the north, Guangzhou and Spring Festival travel rush may be alleviated.

Judging from the population flow in specific cities,

Shanghai, Beijing and Chongqing rank among the top three in the list of "losing weight" in urban population migration.

Tianmen City in Hubei Province, Chuzhou City in Anhui Province, Xiantao City in Hubei Province and other cities are on the list of "fattening" population migration, and their population growth during the Spring Festival all exceeds 1.50%.

Tourism fever in these cities is still high.

Baidu report shows that Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen and Hangzhou are still in the forefront as traditional tourist cities during the Spring Festival holiday in 2020.

Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces and Chengdu, Chongqing and Xi, the "Big Three in the West", are also popular destinations for family travel.

At the same time, the long vacation of more than 7 days has also stimulated a large number of theme tourism needs.

Ancient town tours, blessing tours and family tours are endless, and the two itinerary routes of "going south to avoid the cold" and "going north to see the snow" are "neck and neck". Guang Zhouta and Harbin Ice and Snow World are expected to become the hottest cities for "avoiding cold" and "seeing snow".

On the whole, the top ten scenic spots in China this year are mainly concentrated in Beijing, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shanghai and Chengdu-Chongqing, among which West Lake in Hangzhou, Forbidden City in Beijing and Pingyao Ancient City in Jinzhong rank among the top three.

The Spring Festival is a festival of celebration and reunion. Travel must pay attention to safety, civility and politeness, and go home happily! May your fortune prosper in 2020!

This article comes from car home, the author of the car manufacturer, and does not represent car home's position.